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Table 2 Projected supply of nurses in 5 years time (2013), by age group

From: Registered nurses in Israel - workforce employment characteristics and projected supply

Age group Distribution 20081 After 5 Years2 Addition of New RNs3 Addition of Practical Nurses Retrained to RNs4 Retirement and Drop-out over 5 Years5 Emigration over 5 Years6 Deaths over 5 Years 7 Return to Nursing over 5 Years8 Projection 20139
Total 28,460 23,790 5,639 1,500 4,792 1,080 202 97 24,953
24-29 2060 - 4018 420 1030 78 2 18 3345
30-34 4370 2060 461 295 1748 166 9 39 933
35-39 4960 4370 461 295 744 188 12 21 4203
40-44 4530 4960 461 295 227 172 20 6 5303
45-49 4160 4530 238 195 624 158 31 9 4159
50-54 3710 4160 - - 186 141 41 2 3795
55-60 4670 3710 - - 234 177 86 2 3215
  1. 1 Number of RNs in the sample working during the survey (89%), was multiplied by 10 in each age group to reflect the distribution in the general population of employed RNs.
  2. 2 Distribution by age of RNs working after 5 years (the entire group moved over to the next age group)
  3. 3 Distribution of expected new RN entries, by age group (according to MoH data on the average annual number of new RNs)
  4. 4 Distribution of expected entries of RNs retrained from practical nurses, by age group (according to MoH data on the average annual number of re-trainees from practical to registered nurses)
  5. 5 Dropout rate (due to retirement or quitting the profession of RN) was calculated on the basis of cumulative survival analysis, by age group. The numbers were calculated as the product of the dropout rate times the number of nurses in the age group at the start of the period, and multiplied by 5 to reflect exits from nursing work over 5 years
  6. 6 An emigration rate of 0.0076 in each of the age groups multiplied by 5 to reflect emigration over 5 years
  7. 7 The product of the mortality rate/1,000 (women) in that age group (CBS data) times the number of RNs in the age group, multiplied by 5 for years and divided by 1,000
  8. 8 Percentage of nurses likely to return to the profession in each age group (according to the distribution of this percentage, by age group as in Table 2), multiplied by the number of nurses in each age group
  9. 9 The sum of the number of nurses at the end of the period, the amount of new entries and the amount of potential returnees (3rd, 4th and 8th columns) minus the sum of the columns presenting workforce exits - dropout, emigration, death (columns 5, 6 and 7)