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Table 2 Projected supply of nurses in 5 years time (2013), by age group

From: Registered nurses in Israel - workforce employment characteristics and projected supply

Age group

Distribution 20081

After 5 Years2

Addition of New RNs3

Addition of Practical Nurses Retrained to RNs4

Retirement and Drop-out over 5 Years5

Emigration over 5 Years6

Deaths over 5 Years 7

Return to Nursing over 5 Years8

Projection 20139

Total

28,460

23,790

5,639

1,500

4,792

1,080

202

97

24,953

24-29

2060

-

4018

420

1030

78

2

18

3345

30-34

4370

2060

461

295

1748

166

9

39

933

35-39

4960

4370

461

295

744

188

12

21

4203

40-44

4530

4960

461

295

227

172

20

6

5303

45-49

4160

4530

238

195

624

158

31

9

4159

50-54

3710

4160

-

-

186

141

41

2

3795

55-60

4670

3710

-

-

234

177

86

2

3215

  1. 1 Number of RNs in the sample working during the survey (89%), was multiplied by 10 in each age group to reflect the distribution in the general population of employed RNs.
  2. 2 Distribution by age of RNs working after 5 years (the entire group moved over to the next age group)
  3. 3 Distribution of expected new RN entries, by age group (according to MoH data on the average annual number of new RNs)
  4. 4 Distribution of expected entries of RNs retrained from practical nurses, by age group (according to MoH data on the average annual number of re-trainees from practical to registered nurses)
  5. 5 Dropout rate (due to retirement or quitting the profession of RN) was calculated on the basis of cumulative survival analysis, by age group. The numbers were calculated as the product of the dropout rate times the number of nurses in the age group at the start of the period, and multiplied by 5 to reflect exits from nursing work over 5 years
  6. 6 An emigration rate of 0.0076 in each of the age groups multiplied by 5 to reflect emigration over 5 years
  7. 7 The product of the mortality rate/1,000 (women) in that age group (CBS data) times the number of RNs in the age group, multiplied by 5 for years and divided by 1,000
  8. 8 Percentage of nurses likely to return to the profession in each age group (according to the distribution of this percentage, by age group as in Table 2), multiplied by the number of nurses in each age group
  9. 9 The sum of the number of nurses at the end of the period, the amount of new entries and the amount of potential returnees (3rd, 4th and 8th columns) minus the sum of the columns presenting workforce exits - dropout, emigration, death (columns 5, 6 and 7)