Age group

Distribution 2010^{a}

After 5 years^{b}

Licensed nurses joining during 5 years^{c}

Retirement and exit from workforce during 5 years^{d}

Emigration during 5 years^{e}

Death during 5 years^{f}

Returning to workforce during 5 years^{g}

Supply projection end of 2015^{h}


Total

41,601

36,930

6,000

1,437

1,581

350

138

39,701

2429

4,502
 
3,872

450

171

5

38

3,285

3034

5,639

4,502

573

451

214

8

50

4,450

3539

5,639

5,639

573

169

214

14

25

5,839

4044

5,639

5,639

573

56

214

23

7

5,926

4549

5,420

5,639

409

163

206

35

12

5,656

5054

5,420

5,420
 
54

206

57

3

5,106

5559

4,671

5,420
 
47

178

82

2

5,116

6065

4,671

4,671
 
47

178

126

2

4,323


^{a}The number of employed nurses up to age 65 at the end of 2010. A survey conducted in 2008 [21] found that 89 % of the nurses registered at the Ministry of Health were working in the profession. Accordingly, the calculation is based on 89 % of the number of registered nurses.

^{b}The distribution of nurses employed by age group after 5 years (each group was moved in full to the following age group)

^{c}Distribution of the expected entry of licensed nurses by age group based on Ministry of Health data on the average number of new nurses per year between 2010 and 2014, divided into age groups (1,200 new nurses per year)

^{d}The calculation for the exit rate (retirement, stopping work as registered nurse) was based on the outcomes of the survival analyses by age, which was conducted in a study on the supply of nurses. The figures were calculated as the product of the rate of those leaving times the number of nurses who were in the age group at the start of the period.

^{e}The emigration rate of 0.0076 in each of the age groups was multiplied by 5 in order to reflect emigration over 5 years.

^{f}The product of the mortality rate per thousand capita (women) in the age group (CBS data) times the number of nurses in that group multiplied by 5 years and divided by 1,000.

^{g}The percentage of nurses likely to return to the profession after a temporary exit from work as registered nurses in every age group multiplied by the number of nurses in each age group who left in the course of 5 years.

^{h}The total number of nurses at the end of the period, the number of new nurses and the number of those likely to return to work (columns 3, 4, and 7 respectively) less the total of the columns representing exit from the work force – quitting, emigration and death (5, 6, and 7, respectively).