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Table 3 Nurse demand projections, by demand models (selected scenarios)

From: Models for projecting supply and demand for nurses in Israel

  2015 2020 2025 2030
Demand projections for registered nurses (1) Ratio of 4.8 nurses per thousand standard capita (2) Ratio of beds per thousand standard capita (3) Utilization (hospital days) (1) Ratio of 4.8 nurses per thousand standard capita (2) Ratio of beds per thousand standard capita (3) Utilization (hospital days) (1) Ratio of 4.8 nurses per thousand standard capita (2) Ratio of beds per thousand standard capita (3) Utilization (hospital days) (1) Ratio of 4.8 nurses per thousand standard capita (2) Ratio of beds per thousand standard capita (3) Utilization (hospital days)
"Calibrated" demand 40,090 40,331 39,366 44,045 43,950 42,886 50,069 50,231 47,672 53,150 54,722 49,714
Total demand   39,347 38,406   42,878 41,840   49,006 46,509   53,387 48,501
Demand in hospital inpatients 22,539 21,463 24,459 23,300 28,417 25,937 31,246 26,778
Demand in outpatients 9,545 9,680 10,651 10,772 12,115 12,098 13,193 12,775
Demand in community 7,263 7,263 7,768 7,768 8,474 8,474 8,948 8,948
  1. "Calibrated" demand for nurses working in places not included in the models (additional 2.5 % at each point in time)
  2. (1) Demand projection based on ratio of 4.8 nurses per thousand standard capita, according to the average ratio of registered nurses employed in the population from 2009-2011
  3. (2) Demand projection based on the model of a fixed ratio of hospital beds per thousand standard capita in the population for the inpatient departments (2.1 beds in general hospitals, 0.45 in psychiatric hospitals per thousand standard capita in addition to long-term nursing beds, per Stessman committee), demand projections for outpatient departments and demand projections for registered nurses in the community
  4. (3) Demand projection consists of the demand projection based on the model of utilization of the health system (hospital days) for inpatient departments, the demand projection for outpatient departments, and the demand for registered nurses in the community