Current levels | Smoking prevalence | Number of smokers | Projected deaths of smokers (lower) | Projected deaths of smokers (upper) | |||||
 | Male | Female | Male | Female | Total | Male | Female | Total | |
Year 2014 | 24.5 % | 13.2 % | 1,093,088 | 349,468 | 197,076 | 546,544 | 454,308 | 256,199 | 710,507 |
Original policy | Short-term effect size | Long-term effect size | Reduction in number of smokers | Reduction in smoking attributable deaths (lower) | Reduction in smoking attributable deaths (upper) | ||||
Male | Female | Total | Male | Female | Total | ||||
Protect through Smoke-free Air Laws | |||||||||
 Moderate | -4.6 % | -5.8 % | 63,403 | 20,270 | 11,431 | 31,702 | 26,352 | 14,860 | 41,212 |
Offer Cessation Treatments | |||||||||
 Moderate | -2.6 % | -6.5 % | 70,918 | 22,673 | 12,786 | 35,459 | 29,475 | 16,622 | 46,097 |
Mass Media Campaigns | |||||||||
 Low | -5.5 % | -6.6 % | 72,144 | 23,065 | 13,007 | 36,072 | 29,984 | 16,909 | 46,893 |
Warnings on Cigarette Packages | |||||||||
 Moderate | -2.0 % | -4.0 % | 43,724 | 13,979 | 7,883 | 21,862 | 18,172 | 10,248 | 28,420 |
Enforcement of Marketing Restrictions | |||||||||
 Low-moderate | -4.4 % | -5.7 % | 62,525 | 19,990 | 11,273 | 31,262 | 25,986 | 14,655 | 40,641 |
Raise Cigarette Taxes | |||||||||
 Excise Tax 69 % | -5.9 % | -11.7 % | 127,969 | 40,913 | 23,072 | 63,984 | 26,593 | 14,997 | 83,180 |
Combined Policies | |||||||||
 | -22.6 % | -34.3 % | 374,408 | 119,701 | 67,503 | 187,204 | 155,611 | 87,754 | 243,365 |