Table 9 Risk of not RTW within 1 month, 1 year and 2 years expressed in Average Marginal Effect (AME), by demographic and injury characteristics

 21–34

5.01 [2.79–7.22]

−3.87 [− 5.40- -2.34]

−5.39 [−6.72- -4.05]

 35–44

4.27 [1.90–6.63]

−1.52 [− 3.15–0.10]

− 3.83 [− 5.25- -2.40]

 45–54

1.76 [− 0.54–4.07]

−0.82 [− 2.40–0.77]

− 2.99 [− 4.38- -1.61]

 55+ with more than 5 years before retirement age

− 0.97 [− 3.30–1.36]

− 2.74 [− 4.36- -1.13]

−3.15 [− 4.55- -1.75]

 55+ with less than 5 years before retirement age

ref

ref

ref

Gender (male vs. female)

12.33 [11.38–13.29]

6.63 [5.88–7.38]

3.90 [3.20–4.59]

 Married with children

1.51 [0.16–2.85]

0.47 [− 0.48–1.43]

0.91 [0.02–1.80]

 Married without children

ref

ref

ref

 Single with children

4.46 [2.36–6.55]

3.42 [1.98–4.86]

2.64 [1.29–3.99]

 Single without children

3.06 [1.68–4.43]

0.06 [− 0.92–1.04]

0.44 [−0.46–1.35]

 Other Israelis

ref

ref

ref

 Immigrants from FSU

1.23

0.04–2.43

−0.83 [− 1.75–0.08]

−1.08 [− 1.95- -0.21]

 Ethiopian Immigrants

−0.75 [−3.87–2.37]

1.83 [− 0.27–3.94]

1.47 [− 0.49–3.42]

 Israeli Arabs

8.62 [7.63–9.61]

6.08 [5.41–6.75]

4.77 [4.14–5.39]

 Higher income (4^thQuartile)

ref

ref

ref

 3^thQuartile

16.23 [14.98–17.47]

8.12 [6.98–9.25]

5.48 [4.36–6.59]

 2^ndQuartile

27.58 [26.38–28.79]

14.42 [13.33–15.51]

9.59 [8.52–10.66]

 Lower income (1^stQuartile)

38.89 [37.72–40.06]

19.26 [18.18–20.34]

13.19 [12.12–14.26]

 Injured not at work

ref

ref

ref

 Injured at work - without recognition of NII

−5.44 [−7.23- -3.64]

−1.82 [− 3.23- -0.41]

−0.97 [−2.28–0.34]

 Injured at work - with recognition of NII

25.09 [24.29–25.89]

8.39 [7.77–9.02]

5.09 [4.51–5.67]